On August 18 2023, I made two identical-but-different trades:
- VNAM (VanEck Vietnam UCITS ETF) – 40 shares @ $17.8325 → $713.30
- VNM (VanEck Vietnam ETF, NYSE) – 55 shares @ $13.99273 → $769.60
At first glance, it looks like I went full “double or nothing.”
In reality, I was spreading risk: one ETF domiciled in Europe (VNAM UCITS), one in the U.S. (VNM NYSE).
Vietnam’s market is still classified as “frontier”—low liquidity, evolving regulation. If something went wrong with one fund structure or jurisdiction, I wanted the other as backup.
It’s diversification… with a tropical twist.
The chart that made me say “France sucks, Vietnam rocks”
Here’s the data that started it all — Public Spending as a % of GDP:
| Country / Program | Public Spending (% GDP) |
|---|---|
| Vietnam | 20.0 % |
| China | 33.0 % |
| USA | 37.6 % |
| EU 27 (excl. France) | 47.7 % |
| USSR (1990) | 50.6 % |
| France – Budget 2024 | 57.2 % |
| France – RN Programme | 60.1 % |
| France – NFP Programme | 65.2 % |
| France – LFI Programme | 68.6 % |
So yeah — France spends three times more (as % of GDP) than Vietnam.
One country invests to grow, the other spends to feel better about not growing.
It’s not personal. It’s just fiscal physics.
Why I preferred Vietnam over France
- Efficiency beats bureaucracy – Vietnam’s public sector spends sparingly and leaves room for the private sector. France… not so much.
- Growth beats stagnation – Vietnam’s GDP was growing 6–7 % a year; France was debating retirement ages.
- Fiscal headroom – 20 % of GDP in spending gives flexibility. 60 % means “good luck cutting taxes.”
- Demographics – median age 32 vs 42. Younger, hungrier, cheaper.
- Industrial tailwind – Factories are opening, not closing.
If I had to choose between a country that manufactures iPhones and one that manufactures regulations… I’ll take the iPhones.
Why two ETFs — VNAM and VNM
| Feature | VNAM (UCITS) | VNM (U.S.) |
|---|---|---|
| Domicile | Europe (Ireland) | U.S. (NYSE Arca) |
| Dividends | Accumulating | Distributing |
| Currency | USD/EUR | USD |
| Expense ratio | ~0.68 % | ~0.68 % |
| Holdings | Vietnamese blue-chips | Almost identical |
| My goal | European tax efficiency | Liquidity + backup |
Buying both made sense: same underlying story, two jurisdictions.
If Vietnam becomes the new China, both rise.
If one ETF freezes, delists, or has a tax quirk, the other keeps going.
It’s like owning two passports — in case one customs line gets messy.
Vietnam 2023 snapshot
| Metric | Vietnam | France |
|---|---|---|
| GDP growth | ~6.5 % | ~1 % |
| Public spending / GDP | 20 % | 57–68 % |
| Debt / GDP | 40 % | 110 % |
| Inflation | ~3 % | ~5 % |
| Median age | 32 | 42 |
| Trade balance | Surplus | Deficit |
It’s almost unfair to compare.
France feels like an aging heavyweight boxer — experienced, proud, and gasping.
Vietnam is the 25-year-old in the gym, still getting faster.
The macro story: Vietnam is the new China (minus the drama)
- Labour cost: roughly ½ of China’s
- Supply-chain strategy: “China + 1” is real; factories moving south
- FDI surge: record inflows from Korea, Japan, and the U.S.
- Trade agreements: CPTPP + EVFTA = global market access
- Political stability: same-party system, pro-business
- Young, productive population: big manufacturing base, rising skills
Vietnam is China’s echo — with lower risk of tariffs and Twitter wars.
Every time a multinational says “we’re diversifying supply chains,” Vietnam smiles.
Valuation and fundamentals (the boring / important part)
At purchase time (Aug 2023):
- Vietnam market P/E: ~10–11×
- S&P 500 P/E: ~20×
- GDP growth: 6 %+
- Currency: VND relatively stable
So I was paying half the multiple for double the growth.
In the math of optimism, that’s called buying potential.
Both VNAM and VNM give exposure to local giants — Vingroup, Vinhomes, Hoa Phat Group — companies at the heart of Vietnam’s build-out phase.
France vs Vietnam, round two (2024 outlook)
| Metric | Vietnam | France |
|---|---|---|
| Projected GDP Growth | 6 % + | 1 % (“with luck”) |
| Fiscal Deficit | manageable | widening |
| Energy Independence | improving | nuclear headaches |
| Business Sentiment | upbeat | bureaucratic |
| Global Competitiveness Rank | climbing | slipping |
If investing were a dating app, Vietnam’s profile would say “ambitious builder.”
France’s would say “likes long walks and higher taxes.”
My self-teasing moment
Yes, I bought two Vietnam ETFs on the same day — and told myself it was risk management.
Yes, I quoted a fiscal-spending chart like it was holy scripture.
And yes, I compared an emerging market to a G7 country because it made my trade sound heroic.
But you know what? It still feels right.
Vietnam is playing offense. France is stuck in midfield, arguing with the referee.
The real logic
Investing isn’t about loving flags or mocking countries.
It’s about capital efficiency, demographics, and trajectory.
Vietnam: small government, growing private sector, favourable trade winds.
France: big government, high taxes, ageing population, slow growth.
So when I asked myself, “Where will productivity gains come from over the next 10 years?”
The answer was obvious — and it definitely wasn’t Paris.
Final thoughts
I didn’t buy Vietnam because it’s trendy.
I bought it because the macro numbers, the manufacturing momentum, and the fiscal sanity made sense.
Two ETFs, one bet, lower structural risk, higher potential return.
If it works, I’ll call it “smart diversification.”
If it doesn’t, I’ll say “hey, at least I diversified the failure.”
Either way —
France spends. Vietnam builds. And that’s why I invested where the cranes are, not where the committees meet.

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