On July 25, 2025, I made another quiet, simple trade.
No fanfare. Just one of most successful companies in the World

13 shares of Xiaomi Corp (Class B)
@ $7.305 each
= $94.97 total

Another $100 trade for the Double Up, Free Stock strategy.

You know the formula by now:

  • Small position
  • Asymmetric potential
  • Let it double
  • Sell enough to get my capital back
  • Hold the rest for free

I’ve done this with ABCL, RBLX, and CLS.
Now it’s Xiaomi’s turn to try impressing me.


So Why Xiaomi?

First, let’s be clear: this isn’t a YOLO tech moonshot.
This is a massive, real business—one that’s:

  • Profitable ✅
  • Globally recognized ✅
  • Undervalued ✅
  • Quietly evolving ✅

What They Do

Xiaomi Corporation (HKEX: 1810, OTC: XIACY) is best known for smartphones—but that’s just part of the story.

  • They’re now #3 globally in phone shipments, behind only Samsung and Apple.
  • They sell smart TVs, wearables, tablets, smart home gear, and electric toothbrushes.
  • Their MIUI ecosystem (OS + apps + cloud) quietly locks users in.
  • And now? They’re entering the EV (Electric Vehicle) game with the SU7, a full-fledged smart sedan already turning heads.

In short:
They’re Apple + Tesla + IKEA, but Chinese—and about 1/5th the valuation.


Why Now?

Because Xiaomi has been quietly turning the corner in 2025.

📊 Fundamentals

MetricValue (Approx.)
Share Price (07/15/25)$7.31 (US OTC)
Market Cap~$55B
P/E Ratio (FWD)~13.4×
Revenue (TTM)$43B+
Net Income (TTM)~$4B
EV Sales Forecast (2025)100k+ units
Smartphone SalesBack in growth
Dividend Yield~1.3%
Debt/Equity0.27
  • Revenue is growing again, especially in emerging markets
  • Their margins have improved post-COVID and post-chip shortage
  • Their electric car (SU7) is shipping, with serious demand in China
  • Ecosystem services (apps, ads, cloud) are now 25%+ of gross profit

What the Market’s Missing

  • Everyone is still pricing Xiaomi like a low-margin phone assembler
  • Nobody wants to value the Apple-like ecosystem or the Tesla-style EV leap
  • It trades for less than 1× sales and under 14× earnings

That’s cheap—even by regional standards.

Meanwhile, its SU7 sedan sold over 10,000 units in its first month, and the company is planning global launches. They’re not just experimenting—they’re building.


Why This Is a Perfect “Double Up” Candidate

Because the setup is familiar:

  • Fundamentals improving
  • Valuation depressed
  • Optionality (EV, AI, services)
  • Price near multi-month base
  • Narrative still unwritten (for Western markets)

If the stock just goes from $7 to $14, I’ll sell half, recover my capital, and sit on the other 6.5 shares free.

I don’t need Xiaomi to go parabolic. I just need sentiment to improve.

And in a world where investors are rotating back into emerging tech, AI infrastructure, and profitable growth?
That’s not a crazy ask.


📈 Xiaomi Growth: Quietly Back in Expansion Mode

Revenue Growth

  • FY 2023: Revenue was RMB 271B (~$37B), down slightly due to post-COVID demand drops and global supply chain woes.
  • FY 2024: Revenue rebounded to RMB 300B+ (~$42B), thanks to stronger smartphone sales and smart home momentum.
  • FY 2025 (est.): Forecasts point toward RMB 330B–340B (~$46–47B), driven by:
    • Recovery in global smartphone shipments
    • Growing monetization of their ecosystem services
    • The launch and ramp-up of the SU7 EV

That’s a two-year CAGR of ~12–13% from the 2023 low.


Smartphone Segment

  • Xiaomi is #3 globally in units shipped, often battling it out with Apple and Samsung depending on the quarter.
  • Q1 2025 shipments: +20% YoY
  • Strength especially in:
    • India, Indonesia, and Middle East markets
    • Flagship adoption improving margins (Xiaomi 14 series and Fold devices)

Xiaomi phones aren’t just cheap anymore—they’re competitive on hardware and increasingly sticky with MIUI (custom Android OS).


Internet Services (High-Margin Growth)

  • This segment includes ads, cloud storage, subscriptions, app sales.
  • Revenue (2024): RMB 31.4B (~$4.4B), growing at +15% YoY
  • Gross margins >70% (far higher than hardware margins)
  • User base: 600M+ MAUs, with ARPU slowly increasing

This is Xiaomi’s hidden engine—like Apple’s Services segment, but in early innings.


EV Growth: SU7 Enters the Race

Xiaomi’s SU7 sedan officially launched in Q1 2025:

  • First month sales: 10,000+ units
  • Estimated 2025 total deliveries: 80,000–120,000
  • Targeting a Tesla Model 3 alternative for the Chinese market
  • Early reviews: Strong performance, surprisingly premium, integrated deeply into the Xiaomi device ecosystem

They’re building not just a car, but a “smart mobility platform”—meaning OS updates, voice control, and links to phones, watches, and even smart home gear.

If this segment works? It could be 10–20% of revenue in 3–5 years.


R&D and Ecosystem Expansion

  • Annual R&D spend: Over RMB 20B (~$2.8B)—nearly double what they spent just 3 years ago
  • Investment focus:
    • AI camera tech
    • Custom silicon
    • Robotics (yep, they built a humanoid robot)
    • EV software + firmware

This is not a stagnant hardware assembler. Xiaomi is investing across verticals—and it’s already paying off.

TL;DR (Too Long; Didn’t Read)

  • Bought 13 shares of Xiaomi Corp (Class B) on July 15, 2025
  • Price: $7.305 per share → $94.97 total
  • Rationale: Valuation is cheap, EV business is real, phone segment is rebounding
  • Strategy: Double Up, Free Stock
  • Goal: Sell half when value hits ~$190; keep rest free

Is this the next ABCL, RBLX, or CLS?

Who knows. But the math checks out.
And when the risk is $100, the bar for upside doesn’t have to be sky-high.

I’m happy to wait—and watch the SU7 roll by.

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